Inflation is already here

With all the money printing that has been going on recently, we need to ask ourselves, where is the inflation? Inflation is lower this year that it was last year. Actually, there are different kinds of inflation and some of them are more important to investors.

Normally, when we think of inflation, we think of CPI (consumer price index) and rises in prices of goods and services as measured by a basket of goods. Why is CPI inflation that low? We have a recession with low economic activities and oil $OIL prices are low. But even inflation without oil, that is, core inflation is low. This is because of innovation.

Monetary inflation, however, is already here. M2 money supply is up 25% YoY. An interesting question to ask is where did all this money go? It went mostly in the stock market, creating asset price inflation.

Asset price inflation affects investors as prices of financial assets (stocks $SPX500 , bonds, real estate, gold $GOLD ) are all going up. Passive investing and algorithmic trading is making it worse.

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